N.H. poll: Both races close

Today's Boston Globe carries news of one more UNH poll of likely voters in New Hampshire. On the Democratic side, the numbers are:

  • Barack Obama -- 30 percent
  • Hillary Clinton -- 28 percent
  • John Edwards -- 14 percent
  • Bill Richardson -- 7 percent
  • Dennis Kucinich -- 4 percent
  • Joe Biden -- 3 percent.

On the Republican side, the numbers are:

  • Mitt Romney -- 28 percent
  • John McCain -- 25 percent
  • Rudy Giuliani -- 14 percent
  • Mike Huckabee -- 10 percent
  • Ron Paul -- 8 percent
  • Fred Thompson -- 3 percent.

The margin of error for both samples is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Full results here (pdf).

This is the second UNH poll released in the past week. Putting the results side by side, as we did after a similar polling pair a month ago, suggests this snapshot of the race just before Christmas:

  • Clinton: 28-38 percent vs. 35-36 percent in mid-November
  • Obama: 26-30 vs. 21-22
  • Edwards: 14-14 vs. 13-15
  • Richardson: 7-8 vs. 10-12
  • Romney: 28-34 vs. 32-33 in mid-November
  • McCain: 22-25 vs. 17-18
  • Giuliani: 14-16 vs. 16-20
  • Huckabee: 10-10 vs. 5-5
  • Paul: 5-8 vs. 7-8